Gold Price Jumps 0.46% to $4,329.83 on Cooler-Than-Expected November CPI Data

Updated onDec 18, 2025
Gold Price Jumps 0.46% to $4,329.83 on Cooler-Than-Expected November CPI Data

Gold Price Rallies on Favorable Inflation Report

The price of gold (XAUUSD) experienced a notable rally, climbing to $4,329.83 per ounce as of December 17, 2025. This price point represents a 0.46% increase over the preceding 24 hours, with the precious metal trading between a low of $4,268.69 and a high of $4,329.83 during the period.

The surge was directly attributed to the release of the long-delayed November Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. The report, which was postponed due to a federal government shutdown, indicated that inflation is cooling faster than anticipated by the market. The November CPI headline inflation was reported at 2.7%, a figure that came in below market expectations.

CPI Data Fuels Rate Cut Hopes

The key takeaway from the inflation data was the moderation in both core and headline inflation metrics. While the summary data noted that core and headline inflation had previously increased by 3% year-on-year from the September data, the November reading of 2.7% suggests a significant deceleration in price pressures. This cooling inflation environment has dramatically increased market hopes for potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the near term.

Lower interest rates typically reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making the metal more attractive to investors seeking a hedge against economic uncertainty and currency devaluation. The positive market reaction extended beyond the gold market:

  • Dow futures showed gains.
  • S&P 500 futures registered increases.
  • Nasdaq futures also moved higher, signaling broad-based optimism across equity markets.
The November CPI report, showing headline inflation at 2.7%, was the primary catalyst for the market's positive reaction, suggesting that disinflationary trends are firmly in place and paving the way for potential monetary policy easing.

Market Impact and Sector Implications

The influence of the CPI data was felt across various asset classes. The prospect of lower rates typically weakens the U.S. dollar, further supporting dollar-denominated commodities like gold. Furthermore, the sentiment shift has positively impacted risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, which often benefit from increased liquidity and a 'risk-on' environment.

The gold market’s immediate reaction, spiking above the $4,332 per ounce level according to some reports, underscores the sensitivity of precious metals to inflation and monetary policy expectations. The current price action confirms that inflation data remains the single most critical input driving short-term price discovery for XAUUSD.

Looking forward, market participants will closely monitor subsequent economic indicators to confirm the disinflationary trend. Should inflation continue to moderate, the bullish momentum for gold is likely to persist, supported by the growing expectation of a dovish pivot from the central bank. Conversely, any unexpected resurgence in inflation could quickly reverse the recent gains.

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